Golf gambling tips for Portual Masters and McGladry Classic on the US tour from Betting League’s professional golf tipster Rock62.
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Tournament: Portugal Masters
Course: Victoria Golf Course, Vilamoura, Portugal
Yardage: 7231 yards
Time difference: Same as GMT
Francesco Molinari has the right combination of current and course form to play well in the Portugal Masters on the European Tour. I’m giving Joost Luiten another chance but recommend a bet for him to finish in the top 5 so we collect if he goes close again. Padraig Harrington is showing signs of a return to form and he could well prosper at this level on the Victoria Golf Course in Vilamoura.
The strongest field in the five year history of the tournament will be assembled in Portugal. The entry list includes five major champions and 20 Ryder Cup players. The highest ranked player is Martin Kaymer at number six. Harrington has won three major championships and is joined by major champions John Daly, Paul Lawrie and Jose-Maria Olazabal.
Thomas Bjorn, Simon Dyson and Alexander Noren have each won more than one title in Europe this year and they will have their backers. However none of these players are in the top 50 for driving accuracy and total putts and these are the key skills required to score well this week.
The course on the Algarve has very large and undulating greens which puts decent putting at a premium. Two putting every green would be a fine achievement and there are going to be many par putts in the region of six to eight feet.
The fairways are of average width but there are a great deal of fairway bunkers. The long hitters can prosper on the generous fairways but accuracy off the tee will also be important if the sand hazards are to be avoided.
The rough is not very punishing so those that miss the fairway can still hit the greens in the correct number of shots. It’s probably better to find the forgiving rough of the tee rather than the fairway bunkers as long shots from sand can be extremely difficult. The course is very exposed and lakes come into play on seven of the holes, another factor in determining driving accuracy as a key skill.
Molinari is currently 4th in the latest standings for driving accuracy so has the skills to avoid the fairway bunkers. He is also just inside the top 50 for average putts per round. I can see the Italian putting the ball in the right place off the tee and not losing too many shots on the greens.
The selection has made the cut on his last three appearances in Vilamoura. His best effort was two years ago. He started with a 63 and completed his four rounds in 23 under. Only Lee Westwood went lower, by two shots, but the world number two is not competing this week. Molinari had a solid top 10 in Madrid last week and a continuation of that form and consistent putting could see him win his third European Tour title.
If you are a regular follower of this column you will know that Joost Luiten is a name that often crops up in the staking plan. He might be not quite ready to win but by recommending him to finish in the top 5 we collect if he has another near miss. Course form and current form are in his favour and he is in the top 20 for driving accuracy.
Padraig Harrington was third in this event two years ago so he can clearly handle the course. He played well at the recent Dunhill Links Championship and was just one shot too many for a top 5 finish, frustrating as I had suggested such a bet. He is the top 30 for total putts and I can see him holing his fair share this week. Good putting will be required on a course where the average winning score over the last four years has been 21 under par.
2 points back Francesco Molinari at 16.5.
5 points lay Francesco Molinari at 4.0 (if matched).
1 point back Padraig Harrington at 26.0.
3 points lay Padraig Harrington 5.0 (if matched).
2 points back Joost Luiten Top 5 at 6.0.
Tour: United States
Tournament: The McGladry Classic
Course: Seaside Course, Sea Island, Georgia
Yardage: 7055 yards
Time difference: 5 hours behind of GMT
Webb Simpson needs to finish in the top 19 of the McGladrey Classic on the US Tour this week if he is to overtake Luke Donald in the Money List. I can see him being highly motivated to win the required amount of cash but also establish a substantial lead over Donald by winning the tournament. Charles Howell has probably underachieved in terms of Tour wins but I can see him making the top 5 this week. David Toms is suited to the Seaside Course at Sea Island in Georgia that hosts the tournament for the second consecutive year and he has a good opportunity to win his 14th title on the US Tour.
Sea Island Golf Club is an ocean-side, links course that places a premium on careful shot selection, recovery and putting. It is the most demanding layout of the resort’s several courses. It is relatively short at 7055 yards and has a par of 70 that includes just two par 5s.
The course ranked as the fifth-easiest par 70 on its debut last year with a scoring average of 69.4. The large greens were the sixth least challenging greens to hit in regulation. Golfers averaged over 75% for hitting greens in the correct number of shots. However, accurate driving made it easier to find the green in the regulation number of strokes.
This tournament is a Fall Series event and generally attracts players who are trying to earn enough money to keep their card and playing privileges for next year. However it has attracted winners of 15 tournaments in the United States this year and 15 major champions. Matt Kuchar is the highest world ranked player at 9.
Simpson is the next best in the latest standings at number twelve. He has a great chance to earn some ranking points this week and overtake Donald on the Money List. If Simpson does have a high finish there is a good chance that he and Donald will enter the last tournament of the regular season next week. Donald looks just about assured of winning the Order of Merit and no player has ever won that title and the Money List in the same season.
Simpson has not played since the Tour Championship three weeks ago. He has had 10 top 10s this year and is first in the all round ranking. The winner of the Money List earns a five year exemption and I can see Simpson going a long way to achieving just that in Georgia. He has course form, current form and appears in the top 40 for the two key skills so all the data points to a third win of the year for Simpson.
Charles Howell was identified several years ago as somebody who could match up with Tiger Woods. His early promise did not materialise and he still doesn’t win as often as his talent deserves. He has two titles to his name but has finished second or third on nineteen occasions. I suggest backing him to finish in the top 5 so if he falters when in contention we can collect on a winning bet. He holds the course record at Sea Island. He finished sixth in the Tour Championship and in the same position in this tournament last year. His excellent iron play could see him make the payout places this week.
David Toms tied for third place at this tournament last year. He finished inside the top 10 for hitting greens in regulation and putting, the key skills required to prosper this week. He qualified for the four FedEx Cup events and finished 16th in the Tour Championship finale. His accuracy should give him plenty of birdie opportunities and given an obedient putter he can get in contention over the weekend.