Posts Tagged ‘Horse Racing Tips’

Long Run stands head and shoulders above Denman Chase rivals

Tuesday, February 14th, 2012

All eyes will be keenly focused on Newbury racecourse on Saturday where a series of key Cheltenham Festival trials are set to take place – weather permitting. Last year’s Cheltenham Gold Cup winner Long Run is expected to take his chance in the Betfair Denman Chase as Nicky Henderson puts the finishing touches to the preparation of his star chaser ahead of his attempt to retain his <a href=”http://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/cheltenham/cheltenham-races/“>Cheltenham racing</a> chasing crown on March 16, writes Elliot Slater.

The big fear for Henderson and a host of other trainers with runners declared at Newbury is that the current wintry spell of weather will fail to ease and the meeting could be lost, leaving little opportunity to find alternative engagements in a suitable time frame that allows horses to recover in time to be back at their peak for Cheltenham. Long Run is one of 11 horses declared for the Grade 2 three-mile contest and is way clear of his rivals on official figures. Anything other than a winning performance would be a major shock, but Henderson will doubtless be taking the opposition seriously with the likes of classy performers such as What A Friend, The Giant Bolster, Medermit and Carruthers, amongst others, very capable of running a big race against the likely odds-on favourite. Anyone with <a href=”http://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/cheltenham/“>Cheltenham Free Bets</a> will have to give him some serious consideration.

A quite brilliant winner of last season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup when he swept by previous winners Denman and Kauto Star to score by a hugely impressive seven-lengths, Long Run has twice been put in his place by the resurgent Kauto Star this season, first in the Betfair Chase at Haydock Park in November, (when connections suggested he had needed the run), then again at Kempton Park on Boxing Day where Paul Nicholls’ outstanding veteran held off the current champion by just over a length in a race to remember.

Long Run remains the 9/4 favourite to win again at Cheltenham though with many judges expecting the more testing circuit and extra distance of the blue riband contest to play to the strengths of Henderson’s star and expose any flaws in the now 12-year-old dual former champion.

Options open for luckless Fruity O’Rooney

Friday, February 3rd, 2012

Options open for luckless Fruity O’Rooney

Gary Moore’s decent staying handicap chaser Fruity O’Rooney will probably be seen next in either the Grimthorpe Chase at Doncaster or the Racing Plus Chase at Kempton, before a possible bid for the JLT Speciality Handicap Chase, the race formerly known as the Festival Handicap Chase at Cheltenham 2012 (http://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/cheltenham/) on March 13, writes Elliot Slater.

Moore is still rueing his luck after his in-form chaser appeared set to go very close in the valuable Sky Bet Chase at Doncaster in late-January when taking up the running at the fourth from home. It was just at that point that the gelding’s jockey Jamie Moore began to feel the saddle slipping backwards, and though he managed to keep his mount bang in contention for most of the way home the saddle had moved so far back by the final fence that Moore lost an iron on landing and was unable to offer much assistance to his mount on the run-in, eventually coming home an honourable but highly frustrating third to the useful Calgary Bay.

Having seen that £42,000 winner’s cheque slip through his grasp the Sussex-based handler is now planning a retrieval mission either back at the Town Moor circuit or at Kempton, the track that saw Fruity O’Rooney put up a fine display on his run prior to Doncaster when keeping on well to beat Midnight Appeal in a well contested three-mile handicap chase at the Christmas meeting.

A gelded son of Derby winner Kahyasi, Fruity O’Rooney seems to have found significant improvement this season and connections have not ruled out the big handicap chase at the Betfair Cheltenham Festival (http://betting.betfair.com/horse-racing/cheltenham/) for which the nine-year-old is generally on offer at 33/1. That price will surely disappear fast if Moore’s charge runs another good race next time out, something that, (given his current form), seems more than likely.

Preparations for Cheltenham Festival 2012

Thursday, January 12th, 2012

Europe back to prepare for Cheltenham warm-up race

Reigning Queen Mother Champion Chase winner Sizing Europe has returned to full training after a mid-term break and is being prepared to run at Punchestown in early February in the Grade 2 Tied Cottage Chase, a race in which he could finish only third last season behind the ill-fated Golden Silver, writes Elliot Slater.

The Henry de Bromhead-trained 10-year-old is favourite to defend his crown at the Cheltenham Festival in a couple of months time having already proved this season that he is in fine form, winning in Grade 2 company at Gowran Park in October before stepping up to three miles to run an excellent race in coming home just a length-and-a-quarter second to the smart Quito De La Roque in the Grade 1 JNwine.com Chase at Down Royal in November. Anyone following the Cheltenham 2012 betting odds will have been impressed.

Following the Down Royal contest connections decided to abandon plans to stay at three-miles and bid for the King George VI Chase and instead returned to the minimum trip of two miles to tackle the Grade 1 Tingle Creek Chase at Sandown in early-December, where the Ann & Alan Potts-owned gelding produced a brilliant display of accurate fencing before quickening up in high-class fashion to draw away from the up-and-coming Kauto Stone to score by an impressive eight-lengths. Fans of Betfair Cheltenham racing should make sure they take account of this result.

Although he still hasn’t given up on his hope that Sizing Europe could go all the way to the top over three miles, de Bromhead is concentrating all his efforts for the time being on having his stable star spot on for his defence of the Champion Chase crown and will seek to have the horse just where he wants him when taking him to Punchestown in February.

Bookmakers rate the gelded son of Pistolet Bleu a 5/2 favourite to defend his Cheltenham title with his old rival and former champion chaser Big Zeb next in the list at 5/1

Horse Racing BLOG UPDATE – Horse Racing review Saturday 26th November 2011

Saturday, November 26th, 2011


Long Run set to improve in King George VI Chase

Nicky Henderson, who has his team in simply scintillating form at present, is certain that last season’s Cheltenham Gold Cup hero Long Run will improve significantly for his first run of the season when he finished an eight-length second to the heroic Kauto Star in an outstanding renewal of the Betfair Chase at Haydock Park last weekend, writes Elliot Slater.

Henderson was quick to shake the hand of Paul Nicholls, trainer of the legendary Kauto Star, after the old horse turned in a quite unforgettable performance to outpoint Long Run in the three-mile Grade 1 contest, but the Seven Barrows handler is convinced that his charge is going to put up a much improved performance when he runs at Kempton Park on Boxing Day in the race in which he romped to a 12-length victory last term over stable companion Riverside Theatre. Those looking at the Betfair King George VI odds should remember this.

Henderson observed that Long Run was doing just a little bit too much on the first circuit at Haydock and, although he jumped well for the first couple of miles, he was too close to the pace and was running a little fresh on his first outing of the term. A series of jarring errors in the back straight would have knocked the stuffing out of lesser horses, but Long Run rallied in fine style to still have a chance going to the second last, only to be unable to match the winner for speed going to the final fence. Anyone planning to bet on King George VI Chase should bear in mind how good he looked.

The Robert Waley-Cohen-owned six-year-old ran in similar fashion on his initial run last season before officially improving 20lbs on his second outing (at Kempton), and connections are more than confident that a similar scenario will unfold at the Sunbury track, whether or not Kauto Star turns up to do battle again. Bookmakers have pushed Long Run out to 13/8 favourite in places from Evens prior to his Haydock defeat, with Kauto Star now a general 5/1 chance, having been available at up to 20/1 for the Kempton feature prior to his spectacular return to form.

Saturday 1st October 2011 webcasts – Horse Racing Tipster The-Valueman

Saturday, October 1st, 2011

Betting League’s horse racing tipster The-Valueman free horse racing preview for Saturday 1st October 2011.

This is a must watch for anybody new to gambling on horse racing as The-Valueman gives some wise words on horse racing gambling strategy.

You can get The-Valueman’s subscription horse racing tips although places are running out! CLICK HERE. The Valueman has produced a profit of nearly 600 points from the start of the year, using a £10 stake per point you would have made nearly £6,000 in under 10 months with the tips only costing £299.90 over a ten month period!!!

Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe Preview – by Horse Racing Tipster WaywardLad

Friday, September 30th, 2011

Free Horse racing tips and Preview for the Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe – brought to you by horse racing tipster WaywardLad
CLICK HERE to subscribe to WaywardLad’s selections.

This is a special edition of the blog for the race that brings down the curtain on the European “Flat” racing season – the Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe. For more independent insights like this, visit my blog at http://waywardlad.blogspot.com

I am going to start with last year’s winner, WORKFORCE. Much was made of the trouble in-running suffered by several horses in this race last year, but Workforce suffered as well and had to come from well off the pace with his finishing run. He has not looked so straightforward this season and – judging by his run in the King George –his eyeballing defeat to SO YOU THINK in the Eclipse at Sandown in July has knocked the stuffing from him. His defeat in the King George was blamed on being struck-in-to. Whatever, he won’t relish another eyeballing with SO YOU THINK.

As such, SO YOU THINK has his measure. How good is he? I reckon he’s better than his official rating of OR127, by possibly another 3lb. He should relish this trip as he showed no signs of lacking stamina over 10-furlongs in the Eclipse and he was good enough to run 3rd in the Melbourne Cup over 2-miles (admittedly, off a lenient handicap mark, about 10lbs below what he should have been on). What’s more is he likes to be up with the leader, so he could take a deal of catching in the straight. Has not been lucky with the draw (14 of 16).

SARAFINA was 3rd in the race last year and many thought she could have won but for being badly impeded 3f-out. I must admit, I was not of the same opinion and I watched the race many times. Yes, she lost ground, but so did a host of other horses as the early leader weakened quickly. Personally, I thought her jockey left her run too late and I think connections may have thought that too, as Gerard Mosse has been replaced since. Without a doubt, the horse possesses a devastating turn-of-foot and while that will hold her in good stead in this smaller field (19 ran last year, this year it’s likely to be 16 going to post), I reckon this year’s opponents are better horses. Draw (13 of 16) not important for this hold-up horse.

Of the others, GALIKOVA won a weak looking Group 1 (Prix Vermeille) LTO, and it was a slow time too (2.10 secs slower than SARAFINA on the same card) and you have to wonder if this half-sister to brilliant miler Goldikova will have the stamina to stay this 12-furlong trip which will probably be run at a searching pace. She’s not one for me.

NAKAYAMA FESTA ran a cracker last year to be 2nd, only losing to Workforce by a head. The horse did nothing wrong last year and was beaten on the day only by a better one, there were no excuses. However, that was a helluva final furlong tussle last year and he’s not looked the same horse since. He was easily swept aside by Sarafina in the Prix Foy and needs to find possibly 10lb+ to be in contention.

A more interesting run in that race came from HIRUNO D’AMOUR, another Japanese challenger. Do not under-estimate this one just because he hails from Japan. Remember, he beat good yard-stick St Nicholas Abbey in the Prix Foy at level weights and by 2½ lengths – and that was his first run in over 4 months so he no-doubt needed it. He was not pushed hard that day, and I liked the way he quickened-up 2f-out to pass St Nicholas Abbey inside the final furlong only to be caught by Sarafina in the final 50 yards. As such, I cannot see ST NICHOLAS ABBEY being involved in the finish.

RELIABLE MAN who Seville beat at Longchamps in July may well be improving (he won the influential “Arc” trial, the Prix Niel, LTO) and some good judges reckon he’s top-notch. He also has the huge advantage of the 3yo weight-for-age allowance. Draw (7 of 16) looks favourable.

SNOW FAIRY won both the English and Irish Oaks Group 1 classics last season. However, I reckon she’s best at 10-furlongs and, depending on how this race is run; she may not be far away from SO YOU THINK at the post. If it’s a slow-run race early-on and develops into a 5-furlong dash she has a turn-of-foot as good as any in this field and better than most.

The last of the realistic contenders is Irish Derby winner TREASURE BEACH. Remember, this horse beat Nathaniel at Chester in May and since then they have both gone on to win Group 1 races over 12-furlongs. He’s a prominent galloper though, and that’s not the best thing to be in the “Arc”. In his favour, he has always been held in highest regard by his trainer Aidan O’Brien, hence his entry at Chester in May (where he sends all his best 3yo’s). Although almost certainly over-the-top when beaten in the Grand Prix de Paris in July, he won over 10f in August (another Group 1) and has been rested since so comes into this race fresh. Not the best of draws (12 of 16) but not the worst either.

Of those with supplementary entries, MEANDRE is held by RELIABLE MAN and would need to make significant improvement to reverse placings with him. As for MASKED MARVEL, connections are surely looking to try and snatch one of the places (5th pays £100k, 4th £200k, 3rd £400k) and make a financial killing on the 100,000 Euro entry fee.

How I rate the race runners, and my odds-line:
RELIABLE MAN – 122 + 8lb = 130(P)…….. 9/2
SO YOU THINK – 130………………………….. 4/1
SARAFINA – 126 + 3lb = 129………………… 9/2
GALIKOVA – 118 + 11lb = 129……………… 12/1 (won’t stay trip)
SNOW FAIRY – 125 + 3lb = 128……………. 10/1
TREASURE BEACH – 120 + 8lb = 128(P)….. 8/1
MASKED MARVEL – 120 + 8lb = 128……… 14/1
MEANDRE – 119 + 8lb = 127………………… 14/1
HIRUNO D’AMOUR – 124(P+)……………… 12/1 (could improve 3lb+)
WORKFORCE – 123………………………………12/1 (spent force)
NAKAMAYA FESTA – 120(P)………………….. 16/1
St NICHOLAS ABBEY – 120……………………. 40/1

From the above, RELIABLE MAN at 12/1 looks tremendous value, as does the other 3yo Derby winning colt TREASURE BEACH at 40/1. They may not win what looks like a very competitive race, but one or both should be in the 1st-3 and you never know! Both are worthy of a small eachway wager.

Day 2 Newmarket Cambridgeshire Meeting – Horse Racing Tipster The-Valueman

Friday, September 23rd, 2011

Free Horse racing tips: Horse racing tipster The-Valueman reviews the action on day 2 of the Cambridgeshire Meeting at Newmarket – Friday 23rd September.

You can subscribe to receive The-Valueman’s horse racing selections for only £29.99 for a months subscription. CLICK HERE!

Hello everyone and once again welcome to the Betting League blog for the 2nd day of the Cambridgeshire meeting and as I predicted, yesterday it was not a good day for punters and was best left alone, feel sorry for the guy who got the first five up in the tote jackpot and had the sole surviving ticket left going on to the favourite Swiss Maid who traded as short as 1.52 in-running but ended up finishing second and dashing the hopes of winning £896,000 but it makes it better for us today, all you have to do is get 6 winners at Newmarket in “ The Tote Jackpot at Newmarket which looks set to smash all records on Friday with not only the largest rollover in history up for grabs but it could also potentially create the biggest ever winner of the bet.” so everyone give it a go you never know, maybe my selections will help and we’ll all be sharing / celebrating tonight,
Anyway less of the dreaming and onto today’s racing, they’re going to water the course a little today to replace the moisture that was lost on a drying day yesterday, so would imagine the going will be about the same, again not a lot of betting opportunities with a glut of fillies only races, which as you all know I don’t consider betting opportunities, and a maiden in which there is no form lines,

1.15
A fillies race so a no bet race for me Rakasa, Questing and Nayarra all finished in a heap behind Regal Realm and the form of that race was let down by Regal Realm last time, so how solid that form is I am not sure, todays going and track are pretty different, and I think that Natyarra will be better suited of the three to today’s conditions, think the form of Newmarket winner Minidress is weak compared to some of the others, if I were to choose I liked the look of both debut scorers Albaspina and Alsindi both of whom looked to have lots of improvement in them but how they will handle today’s quicker going is anybody’s guess

1.50
Another fillies race and no bet race, don’t think the form of Dark Promise is good enough to win this, it was a weakly run race at Haydock that she ran behind King Torus in, Soorah looks slightly outclassed today, Wake Up Call is consistently improving but needs to find another 7lbs to figure here, and I think you can say the same about Electra Star who has been well placed by her connections to win some moderate races for this level and today’s race looks harder, I think Seta will have her conditions today, her form is very ground dependant in that all her best runs have been on fast going the worry is the drop back in trip

2.25
I seem to keep saying this but another no bet race, the main protagonists have very varied form and a few of which if they were back to their best would win this easily, Poet’s Voice has been disappointing of late but he is Frankie’s chosen one so obviously a better run is expected but he is nearly favourite and you are guessing and I don’t do that, Premier Loco won a weak race the other day and is not good enough and will be my place lay of the day at the prices, Libranno is another who won a weak race last time and not for me, Ransom Note and Tazahum are the two I would be interested in, Ransom Note needs a positive ride over this trip to run to his best and Tazahum is improving and gets a handy 4lb weight allowance

3.00
Another fillies race and again a no bet race, Albamara and Firdaws both need to show massive improvement to take this so not for me, Samitar is consistent but a place looks all she can hope for, the two with the proven form are Fallen For You and Lyric of Light, and there should not be much between them at the finish, if I were to pick I would think that Fallen for You would be better suited by the stiffer track today.

3.35
A maiden with nothing to go on so another no bet race.

4.10
Guess what….yes another no bet race with lots of questions to be answered by the front runners in the market, Al Shemali runs too many poor races, Dangerous Midge has the class but maybe not the inclination to win this, something was wrong obviously last time with All the Aces, Sirvino is just a good handicapper and is outclassed today, Myplacelater runs too many shocking races for me and is favourite which just about sums the race up and he will be my second place lay of the day at a ridiculous price, Mahooba is consistent but if any of the other runners bounce back to form she will be left in their wake,

4.45
At last a decent race with lots of runners and lots of form to go on and our first bet of the meeting so let’s hope it is successful, a couple of interesting jockey bookings Fallon for D’Arcy, and Dettori for Cowell, Jo’Burg is interesting on his debut for David O’Meara, he has dropped a lot in the weights to a winnable mark but he didn’t look to be enjoying racing last few times we have seen him, Nelson’s Bounty one of two in the race for Paul D’Arcy was well backed last time on his return to form but the race was run at a moderate pace and this is tougher, Paramour is another who was disappointing last time when favourite and needs to improve to win this, Viva Vettori keeps promising without delivering, but he will like the track, Night Lily raised his game last time on the a.w but this is different, Capaill Liath is consistent but the yard is massively out of form, Dolphin Rock is another consistent animal but the firm going is against him, I have narrowed this down to just three runners, but you need to be a member to find out what they are,

5.20
A race with no prize money and for a change more than just a handful of runners taking part, but it has to be another no bet race, with a lot of moderate horses racing for nothing, Fujin Dancer has the best form if his speed hasn’t been blunted after a few tries over hurdles, and a good booking is Richard Hughes to ride, the filly Ambala has to prove she is as good on turf

Newmarket Cambridgeshire Meeting – Horse Racing Tipster The-Valueman

Thursday, September 22nd, 2011

Horse racing tipster The-Valueman reviews the action on day 1 of the Cambridgeshire Meeting at Newmarket – Thursday 22nd September.

The-Valueman is top of the Betting League! Check his awesome past performance HERE !.

You can subscribe to receive The-Valueman’s horse racing selections for only £29.99 for a months subscription. CLICK HERE!

Hi everyone welcome back to the Betting League,
firstly let me say it’s been a sad week for racing with two of racings top trainers former car salesman “ Ginger “ McCain and Michael Jarvis passing away, these guys were both Gentlemen and will be sorely missed, I have fond memories down on the beach at Southport watching Ginger training the horses in the sea, my condolences go out to their families and friends,
welcome to day one of the Cambridgeshire meeting from Newmarket, I’m still on a high and I hope you guys are from last week’s 2 winners Magical Macey and Coolmix following on from Sirius Prospect the week before all which were gambled on and delivered, so the bar is set pretty high for this week’s big meeting, so let’s hope I can carry on the good work.
As usual….lol I am still at the top of the Tipster League with a massive 588 points profit from over 184 selections but because of some awesome tipping twissy22 is breaching the gap in spectacular fashion and you guys should take a leaf out of my book and register for his free selections, if you look at the league there are 15 tipsters in profit and the top four have all made more than 100% profit, which just shows the excellent quality of the tipsters that the guys here at Betting League have been recruiting
The going today is on the fast side of good and is drying out all the time with a sunny day forecast, the draw is very even and winners can come from anywhere on the course, betting opportunities are very thin on the ground with fillies and maiden races and handicaps with lots of in and out performers, but over the next few days I am sure there will be some betting opportunities

2.10
Not a race I would get involved in there are plenty more betting opportunities without guessing what might be any good, Almaas has the best form but that was on the a.w so who knows if he can produce that form on turf, Imperial Orders stamina looked to be ebbing away over the easier Doncaster course so this stiff track does not look like it would be to his advantage,

2.45
The colt Devdas is slowly improving but his win was on softer going, and a 6lb penalty for that win will mean he needs to improve again to take this, even with John Fahy claiming 3lbs that might be too big an ask today, Kid Suitor won a weak race at Chepstow as he should have when odds on, todays rivals are harder and I think he won’t be good enough, if Ronan Province came back to his debut form he would win this nearly, but even allowing for a couple of excuses i.e soft going and the a.w it is a big ask, Roger Charlton does not use claimers very often and it is interesting that he has booked Harry Bentley to claim 3lbs off the back off the consistent That’s Dangerous, but he needs to show some more improvement but presently his form seems to have plateaued out so not for me, Magic City was not given the best of rides behind Ghostwriting with whom he is 6lbs better off for 3 lengths, but I think the extra furlong will be in Ghostwriting’s favour and he will confirm the form, Chil the Kite was fairly impressive last time but that was at Goodwood and on softer ground so with track and trip totally different today you don’t know what to expect, whilst I think Ghostwriting has a favourites chance it’s not a betting race for me with the ability to handle the track and the going a worry for some of the runners

3.20
A fillies and mares race, and as you know I don’t consider these betting opportunities with the vagaries of fillies and mares in that they are like women and you don’t know what to expect from one day to the next, so no selection for this

3.55
Farraaj’s form was boosted when Tell Dad romped in the other day so the race looks at his mercy if he puts his best foot forward but too short in the betting to give out as a selection

4.30
Another no bet race, Chiberta King was tried in cheekpieces back in May and flopped and they are back on again today, Fictional account took advantage of an over confident ride for the fav Fame and Glory in the Irish St Ledger trial so the form is flawed and overall he does not look good enough, Theology and Times Up should dead heat on York form, Nehaam is improving but needs a strong pace to be at his best and I am not sure he will get it here, so in what could be a tactical race Times Up has the strongest chance but not a betting race

5.05
Another fillies race so not a betting race for me, Swiss Dream is too inconsistent for me to even consider backing, and I am not sure she will get an easy lead which is what she needs to show her best, the only thing in her favour is that Nicky Mackay who rides today seems to get the best out of her, the filly Dubai Media has the tongue tie on for the first time to help her try and find some form, but she has not been firing of late and is best watched, Madany was running ok prior to her last run at York when she ran poorly, the break could have refreshed her but who knows, Gouray has one piece of form at Newmarket that would have been good enough to get her into the frame but you never know if she will repeat it, Fair Value is in form but the 6lb penalty will make life tougher, the race seems to revolve around just a couple of runners Dreamacha who usually needs a run as today when coming back from a break so if the race was not a fillies race I would be fairly strong on Manoori who is improving, fit and well weighted, the step up in trip could also bring about some further improvement but as I said a no bet race

5.40
Another no bet race because there are if’s and buts about a lot of the form of the runners, the majority of the runners have very in and out profiles without any specific reason and today might be a going day, Boogie Shoes has the best form but on switchback courses and over further, Polish World is from a yard that is flying and could improve more, Chapter and Verse has better form on the a.w but usually when Richard Hughes is booked the yard think they have a top chance, Cruiser has blinkers on for the first time and is very consistent, so a no bet race for me

Ayr Saturday 17th September 2011 webcasts – Horse Racing Tipster The-Valueman

Saturday, September 17th, 2011

Betting League’s horse racing tipster The-Valueman free horse racing preview for Ayr Saturday 17th September 2011.

Also get The-Valueman’s subscription horse racing tips. Limited availability! CLICK HERE. With 2 out of 4 winners and a profit of nearly 200 points in a single day, £29.99 is an absolute bargain for a tipster of this quality. The Valueman has produced a profit of nearly 600 points from the start of the year, using a £10 stake per point you would have made nearly £6,000 in under 10 months with the tips only costing £299.90 over a ten month period!!!

Ayr Friday 16th September 2011 webcasts – Horse Racing Tipster The-Valueman

Friday, September 16th, 2011

Betting League’s horse racing tipster The-Valueman free horse racing preview for Ayr Friday 16th September 2011.

Also get The-Valueman’s subscription horse racing tips. Limited availability! CLICK HERE.

4 Horse Racing Tips already posted for Ayr today from The-Valueman.